ohio governor polls 2022

The Columbus Dispatch. Mike DeWine will be the nominee facing former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Map 1: Selected recent Ohio elections by 2010s congressional districts. [8][9][10] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Mike DeWine Wins Ohio - CrowdWisdom360 Governor: Ohio Primary Results 8:43 PM EDT, Thu October 13, 2022 CNN projects that Republican Gov. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. . In fact, when Georgia's Governor Brian Kemp signed a bill in 2021 requiring voter ID and strengthening rules against bribery and electioneering at the polls, the President condemned the law as "Jim Crow on steroids." Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. For predictions and projections for every Senate race, click here. . Jon Husted (6) Ohio Republican candidate for Ohio . It could be awhile before all votes are counted. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. OHIO - 2022 Senate election. The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. Cygnal Ohio Poll Shows Vance and DeWine Getting Bigger Leads May 18, 2022: Takeaways from the biggest primary night of th John Cranley (3) Ohio Democratic Gubernatorial Challenger. By mail: Print, sign, and send this form to your county board of elections. Lazaro Gamio , Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Ohio 2022 primary election results. Incumbent Governor Mike DeWine (R) faces Democrat Nan Whaley, Mike DeWine will comfortably win the 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial election. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. . Ohioans are split down the middle when it comes to selecting a new senator, but one thing remains clear: DeWine, first elected to the role in 2018, is overwhelmingly favored to return to office. Read more Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Lori Lightfoot becomes the first Chicago mayor in 40 years to lose re-election. , Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, a 2020 election denier, defeated Lt. Gov. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. Starting in March 2020, Gov. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor and US Senate. by Lawrence W. Reed What are "Jim Crow" laws? DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. About 8% of voters remain undecided, Cygnal found. Ohio Governor Race 2022: Election Forecast, Ratings - Politico Ohio Primary Election 2022: Live Results, Map, and Analysis | The New Yorker Ohio Primary Map: Live Election Results The state's primaries are May 3rd. Nate Cohn By: Marty Schladen - May 5, 2022 3:50 am Ohio governor Democratic nominee Nan Whaley, left (Photo by Meg Vogel/Ohio Debate Commission). Though the race to replace retiring Sen. , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Since the Ohio GOP endorsed DeWine, the state party has also opened up its purse strings for the governor, giving his campaign nearly $273,000 in donations and almost $316,000 in in-kind . Crime spiked during her term, though she has repeatedly touted that it dropped year-over-year in 2022. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. All Latest Election Polls. DeWine and his 14-point lead, for example, would easily survive the GOP error margin if he lost 9.6 points. Maggie Astor , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Election Tools. Jun 8, 2022. The last time a. , George Santos, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks Third Congressional District. Nov. 8, 2022, Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. A graph shows the results of the first independent poll of Ohio's 2022 Republican primary for governor, conducted Feb. 1-4, 2022. Lori Lightfoot becomes the first Chicago mayor in 40 years to lose re Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. Ohio - FiveThirtyEight , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. A top political adviser to Glenn Youngkin insisted on Monday that there's room for the Virginia governor to enter the Republican presidential primary a day after the aide said the campaign was a . Loading. Albert Sun Eligible SNAP recipients will receive a P-EBT benefit on their existing Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) card. MarketWatch provides the latest stock market, financial and business news. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). May 3, 2022. In the race for U.S. Senate, only 1 point separates Republican J.D. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. 31 mil. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine enters primary day the favorite to defeat - CNN Gov. Youngkin adviser says 2024 race is more than Trump, DeSantis Experts: Whaley might actually have a shot in November Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. Election Day in Ohio is finally upon us. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. Mike DeWine prevailed over three opponents in Tuesday's GOP primary. Republican John Duarte has inched in front of moderate Democrat Adam Gray, despite the fact this Central Valley district went for President Joe Biden by 11 points in 2020. Get stock market quotes, personal finance advice, company news and more. Elections. State officials say that counting all of the votes may take several days. Politico's Zach Montellaro and Michael Kruse wrote the "primary could show just how far [support for Donald Trump (R)], even without the former . Select any location to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto ORourke. She'll face a steep uphill climb in the general election against Gov. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. The two are tied among those who say they will definitely vote in November's election. Headlines Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections Election 2022 - Ohio Governor - Republican Primary - RealClearPolitics Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. For most polls, you can read the margin of error (MoE) like this: If the poll were to be done again 100 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio - Wikipedia Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. 2022 Ohio Governor 2020: Trump (R) 53.4, Biden (D) 45.2 Primary: May 3, 2022 Dem Candidates: John Cranley, Nan Whaley GOP Candidates: Mike DeWine (Incumbent) Ohio Governor - Republican. Nearly 35% of Cygnal poll respondents placed inflation and the cost of living at the top of their issues list, followed by nearly 20% emphasizing abortion and 13% listing jobs and the economy. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Senate 2022 Polling Average - Updated Daily with the Latest Polls Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. . Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. Ohio Governor Election Results 2022: DeWine Defeats Whaley - The New York Times Advertisement Senate House Uncalled House Races Top Races Governor Needle Ga. Senate Runoff Senator Raphael. Incumbent Republican Gov. ", "Trump hints at primary challenge for DeWine in tweet", "DeWine tells Republicans he's definitely running for re-election", "The Spectrum: Gubernatorial candidate seeks to break the mold; employers requiring COVID-19 vaccine", "Mulligan's owner withdraws as candidate for lieutenant governor", "Blystone Picks Union County Marine Veteran As Running Mate", "Conservative former state reps join Republican contest for Ohio governor", "Ex-lawmaker Ron Hood enters GOP primary for Ohio governor", "Former U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci announces campaign for Ohio governor, challenging incumbent Gov. * Incumbent Will Shiba Inu reach 1 Cent by 2025? CNN Ohio Gov. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. henderson county nc sample ballot 2022 - changing-stories.org Apecoin Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030: Will Apecoin reach $100 and $1000? Alicia Parlapiano Atlas Forum Image Code for Maps: County; Data Sources: Source for Popular Vote data: Ohio Secretary of State. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martn Gonzlez Gmez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Ohio Primary Election Results 2022: Live Updates : NPR Republish photo only with original story.) We interviewed our tech expert, Jaime Vazquez, to learn more about accessible smart home devices. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Nvidia Stock Forecast 2023: Will NVIDIA Reach $1000? Noah Rudnick, a Cygnal data scientist who fielded the poll, said in a news release that independent voters are really up for grabs when it comes to Ohios U.S. Senate race, as about 20% of independents who have yet to vote also remain undecided. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Governors Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races - Politico If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Compared to a June 2018 Ohio midterm poll, likely voters in the Buckeye state see their standard of living as having declined. MarketWatch: Stock Market News - Financial News - MarketWatch State Sen. Doug Mastriano who attended and helped organize for the "Stop the Steal" rally, has called for audits of Keystone State votes and has been . Analysis: Could Mike DeWine's Re-election Bid Be Doomed By His Fellow Here Are 16 That. 16 Michigan Schools Get $205,028 for STEM - Tennessee Star The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Mike DeWine explains why he won't issue mask mandate", "Blystone announces candidacy for Governor Pomeroy Daily Sentinel", "Former U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci announces run for Ohio governor; challenging Gov. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Ohio voters headed to the polls Tuesday to cast ballots in primaries for the House of Representatives and Senate, as well as for governor, attorney general . Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. , Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. Terra Luna Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030. [1] DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since 1978 has won re-election by a double digit margin. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. Ohio election November 8, 2022: What races are on my ballot? | wkyc.com The Republican question has a 4.8-point margin of error, and the Democratic question has a 5.5-point margin of error. Read more Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Mike DeWine Wins Ohio Gubernatorial Race Nitesh Singh November 9, 2022 Election Day Updates Current Vote Share Mike DeWine: 56% Nan Whaley: 44% Exit Poll Update Men: DeWine 62%, Whaley 37% Women: DeWine 55%, Whaley 44% DeWine is outperforming JD Vance (R) by 7 points among Men and 9 points among Women 13 News Ohio governor poll: DeWine has big lead; no Democratic Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. prevailed over three opponents in Tuesdays GOP primary. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. RealClearPolitics - 2022 Ohio Governor The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Incumbent Ohio Republican Gov. Notice any bugs or missing polls? John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Track all US 2022 Mid-Term Election Polls here, Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Mike DeWine Wins Ohio Gubernatorial Race. Ohio governor republican primary election results and maps 2022 - CNN The Spectrum: Mike Carey on Ukraine; Ohio redistricting fallout? Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Every day, the latest polls are added to the average. President Biden apparently thinks they are synonymous with election integrity. Governor", "Pike County Republicans endorse DeWine-Husted ticket", "Rennaci/Knopp Campaign Momentum Continues with First Wave of Endorsements", "Renacci/Knopp Release Names of 50 New Endorsers", "Brad Parscale advising potential primary challenger to Ohio's Republican governor", "Renacci gets endorsement from GOP in Ohio's second-most-populous county, shocks DeWine", "Renacci wins more endorsements in challenge of Mike DeWine", "Ohio Value Voters endorses Renacci for governor based on plan to overhaul education", "Jim Renacci for Governor of Ohio | Stand for Health Freedom", "FILINGS FOR THE 2022 PRIMARY ELECTION RELEASED", "Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley is running to be the Democratic nominee for Ohio governor", "Ohio governor's race: Cranley selects Sen. Teresa Fedor, Whaley picks Cheryl Stephens as running mates", "Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley: 'Of course' I'm running for governor", "Ted Williams, the man with a 'Golden Voice,' retracts his bid for Ohio governor", "5 more Democratic presidential hopefuls who may have other ambitions", "Tim Ryan expected to seek Ohio Senate seat", "Akron Rep. Emilia Sykes enters race for competitive 13th Congressional District", "John Cranley in the Democratic primary for Ohio governor: endorsement editorial", "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown endorses Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley for governor", "Nan Whaley endorsed for Ohio governor by more than half of Democratic state lawmakers", "Ohio mayors are picking sides in Dem primary for governor: Nan Whaley or John Cranley", "Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley announces run for governor", ". DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio since 1978 . The two are still splitting the anti-DeWine vote, Holloway noted, which means that voters havent coalesced around one of them over DeWine yet.. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Mike DeWine. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Heres the state of the closest races: Election 2020 Calendar. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. . [5][6][7] As a result, DeWine became the first incumbent Ohio governor to face a primary challenger since Jim Rhodes in 1978 and the first to have multiple challengers since Michael Disalle in 1962. Follow The New Yorker's full coverage. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%, Petersen with 11%, "someone else" with 1%, This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association, This poll was sponsored by Renacci's campaign committee, This poll was sponsored by Whaley's campaign, This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeWine, This poll was circulated by the Ohio Democratic Party, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign, ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 13th congressional district, Industrial Division of the Communication Workers of America, 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio, "CNN Projection: Republican Gov. Ketia Daniel, founder of BHM Cleaning Co., is BestReviews cleaning expert. GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. Conflux Price Prediction 2023-30: Will CFX reach $100? NYT Graphics Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Ohio governor primary day election results : NPR Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. Mike DeWine for reelection", "Slate of Ohio Republican candidates embark on bus tour in final days of campaign", "DeWine Makes Several Local Campaign Stops", "Ohio FOP endorses Mike DeWine in upcoming election; does not make endorsement in AG race", "Ohio needs a governor willing to lead not cave | Dispatch Editorial Board endorsement", "November 8, 2022 General Election Official Canvass", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Ohio_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1142753143, Short description is different from Wikidata, All Wikipedia articles written in American English, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, Running mate: Joe Knopp, Christian film producer, Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE), Ohio Association of Public School Employees, This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 04:58. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial Voter Guide - iSideWith Emerson has a long track record as a reliable, impartial pollster. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. Beating all candidates, however, were undecided voters at 36%. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. . If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Ohio - Wikipedia Follow along after polls close. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. I dont think either one of them have done a lot of advertising statewide.. There are voters who choose not to tune into the race until just a couple of weeks before the election, Holloway said. Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. Ohio Governor Election Results 2022: DeWine Defeats Whaley - The New Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Albert Sun Vance, the author, attorney and venture capitalist running to succeed retiring Republican Senator Rob Portman, with a 4.6-percent lead over Democratic Congressman Tim Ryan (D . However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. Fisker Stock Forecast: Will FSR Stock Reach $100? 0:00. State Results 2022 Exit Polls CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing endorsement of abortion rights on midterm ballot initiatives across the US. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood. Maggie Astor Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More Carey won by 16.6 points, a result within the polls 4.6-point error margin. White votes remain a large majority and its the same case in both parties primaries. Ohio Governor Election Results 2022 r Incumbent Projected winner Mike DeWine 62.4% 2,580,424 d Nan Whaley 37.4% 1,545,489 99% expected votes in + all candidates County breakdown Exit polls. A poll sponsored by Whaley's campaign in mid-January gave her a 13-point lead with nearly half of voters still undecided. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. Vance and Democrat Tim Ryan in the race for U.S. Senate in Ohio among registered voters. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. DeWine is outperforming JD Vance (R) by 7 points among Men and 9 points among Women, Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Nan Whaley is struggling as per the latest poll numbers. , Vicente Gonzalez, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Texas 34th Congressional District. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. , Brad Raffensperger, Republican, is re-elected as Georgias secretary of state. Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022 Latest Governor Polls. An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD), GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. . She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. For direct links to gubernatorial polling detail in each state, see this map . Primary: May 3, 2022 Dem Candidates: John Cranley, Nan Whaley document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. Follow along here , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. For the open Senate seat in Ohio, J.D. Vance with 48.2% of the vote compared with Democrat Tim Ryans 43.7% a gap that falls within the polls margin of error of 2.52%, dubbing the race a statistical dead heat.