The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales What has happened to the once-great British Airways? All Rights Reserved. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. . Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action, Nicola Sturgeons SNP government blocking Scotlands 'success in the UK', says Sir Keir Starmer, Met Police in London urged to investigate the SNP's Covid 'crime of the century', Campaigners believe longstanding failures in the Scottish healthcare regulation were exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic, leading to up to 30,000 avoidable deaths and they won't stop until they get justice, Prince Harry feels 'stuck' with Meghan Markle in America as biographer claims he wants them to come home, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex quit the UK in 2020 but observers reckon the move has not worked out for them, Tax authorities 'destroyed' Rangers, former chairman Charles Green tells court, Green also spoke of his dislike for Craig Whyte, telling the court 'if we had a collection in this court we would have more money from that than Craig Whyte would ever have', Prince Harry set to lose Dukedom as King's eviction is block on him 'deputising', More rejection for Prince Harry as experts reckon his UK eviction is a tactical move to stop him from being able to step into Royal roles in the event of King Charles's absence, Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell's joint bank account is key to resignation, says Private Eye, The outgoing SNP leader and her chief executive husband are urged to answer the question about whether or not they have a joint bank account, as the magazine says Operation Branchform was the 'game-changer' behind shock resignation, Teaching strikes reprieve in doubt as union blasts 14% pay rise as 'paltry'. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Charities & not-for-profit. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Dates. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov @BritainElects. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. All Rights Reserved. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . In all polls the dont knows are removed. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. But we can't do it without you. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Business & professional services. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. Please check you have typed it correctly. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. YouGov found . Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Latest Scottish Independence Opinon Poll Data - Which Side Is Ahead? Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. Company number: SC669393. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov The poll for the Sun found. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. A Y In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? conservative party Labour Party N.B. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Britain Elects. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. All rights reserved. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. An existing account was found for this email address. UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. We don't have an account for this email address. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . Notable recent election polls /Which party are you most inclined to support? In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. 4th October 2022| should not be a referendum on Scottish Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill.
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